Friday, 18 January 2013


Update - 28 June 2016.
Guardian headlines
Britain credit rating downgraded as markets suffer more Brexit losses - as it happened

 Rating agency S&P says EU referendum result is a ‘seminal event’ that means Britain no longer deserves a top credit rating

Letter to the Guardian

BREXIT – Uncertainty triggers investors worldwide, way beyond UK control, to convert to cash or gold. Whitehall requires 300 experienced civil servants to work for ten years to remake our trade deals; they have just three. 1/5th of UK companies are already quitting the country; exporting capital. Individuals will join the capital-flight. Tax-evaders are exporting more assets, adding to the estimated £2 trillion (8 million good UK jobs) in tax havens. 3M Brits have signed the petition to nullify the referendum because it was based on lies. This unprecedented chaotic collapse will worsen day-by-day, impoverishing us all. Cameron slinks off into retirement. The LEAVERS offer us Corbyn, Johnson, Gove & Farage, outright liars who have already reversed all their campaign promises. 

A “democratic decision” based on blatant lies is fraudulent. The UK government must tell the world, urgently, today, that we are staying in the EU.   

Noel Hodson - Director
Tax Reconciliations, Oxford UK,

Tel +44 1865 (0)760994 Mobile 07713 681216


The economic consensus to date (12.30 pm 28 Jun 2016) is that the UK assets have lost about $1.5 trillion. That is $50,000 per UK household of wealth lost. People will therefore curtail spending - transactions are being and will be decimated - businesses will be bankrupted - huge unemployment will result. My wife's and my modest pension assets (our home and a few shares) have lost 14% in 3 days. We and millions of other families will stop spending. The UK is going bust. 

Unless the government announces to the world that the Referendum was based on blatant lies, peddled to ordinary folk with no chance of evaluating the EU - UK relationship; and misled by villainous politicians and offshore-owned media into blaming all their problems on the EU, and that therefore the Referendum is being set-aside - we will lose ten times as much as we already have. The nation will go bust. 

Currently (1 pm 28 Jun 2016) a UK Voters' Petition to remain in Europe has 3.9M signatures, but the BBC and Government and our Offshore Owned media are determinedly ignoring it as SS Titanic Great Britain sinks into the cold, lonely Atlantic. The BREXIT team have instantly broken and denied all their campaign pledges for change, yet are pushing their celebrity idiots and half-wits forward as the next UK Leaders . 

Conspiracy or Cock-Up? It hardly matters. Either way we will have a swift General Election - and hopefully the comedians, jesters and fools will be sent packing and an entirely different 21st Century democratic system will emerge. 

I live in hope.


24 JUNE 2016. UK Update.

Sterling falls 6%

London Stock Exchange falls 4%

Scotland says it will quit the UK, and join the EU. I guess that Northern Ireland will go with Scotland.

I think; England and Wales will decline and be effectively bankrupted within 10 years. Mass unemployment will follow this foolish LEAVE vote. House-building will stop - Interest Rates will rise,  major companies will relocate to mainland Europe, families will lose their homes. The unthinking mob has been stirred up (by twisted drunkard MEP Nigel Farage who takes £100,000 a year from the EU while sabotaging the entire EU 50 year peace-project) stirred to wrongly blame the EU for UK governments' cumulative failures since 1980. Turncoat barrack-room-lawyer, elderly, querulous Jeremy Corbyn who said "immigration cannot be capped" and covertly led Labour to vote LEAVE, is finished. Stupid or venal David Cameron, having done his worst for his country, is jumping ship back into his Ivy League Trust Fund offshore personal comfort. Fascism will triumph as England collapses. 

Our UK population has been counted this week as 65M - a major leap up from 62M. It does have to be quickly reduced. Quitting the EU won't do it. How about culling the old folk (me and my generation) who no longer have the good manners to die when they've had their three-score-years-and-ten? A new corner shop franchise - Euthanasia Unlimited - would be very profitable.



22 JUN 16 UPDATE as Britain's Referendum Thursday on 23rd June 2016 looms. "FOG IN CHANNEL - EUROPE ISOLATED."

My note to a deluded LEAVE friend:

Hi Tony,

I’ve just spoken with John who flies to Lanzarote tomorrow – after voting LEAVE; which will cancel out my REMAIN vote. 

But, you QUITTERS may well be in the majority – which is why Donald Trump flies IN today, to join with his equally blond hirsute doppelganger, Boris, to jointly take over the Anglo-Saxon world. Fascinating though the mass debate has been and is, I’m drowning in the swamp of misdirection, half-truths, lies and insane-statistics from both sides – and I need to come up for air. 

When and If LEAVE wins – Sterling will fall, it will for a short time stimulate UK exports before tariffs kick in, then will push up import prices, which will trigger inflation, which will push up interest rates on the UK’s record £1.3 trillion of household debts, which will freeze all businesses and trigger liquidations and  mortgage defaults, which will make families homeless and jobless; the EU and USA will say "its your own fault" and leave us adrift in the Atlantic without a paddle. Scotland and Wales and maybe Yorkshire will leave the UK and join the EU. The next stage is mass starvation and civil-war. On the other hand…  Michael Gove MP says that those who vote REMAIN will be cursed with withered rotting privy-parts and their dicks will drop-off – and the NHS will refuse to treat them.

Between a rock and a hard place. It’s a terrible dilemma, which David Cameron created by calling the referendum. What's his game?


Author -  Sci-Fi & Socio-Economics

January 2013 - I hesitate to write on complex subjects that I have not studied. The European Union (EU) is such a topic. It dates back to World War Two, to Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin carving up continental Europe – then it becomes The Common Market – The Treaty of Rome – The European Union, served by the European Commission (EC) – and latterly it recently expanded to include countries from the old USSR eastern bloc.  It now encompasses 550 million citizens – compare this to 1.2 billion people in China and about the same in India, and to the 350 million in the United States of America.

From 1994 to 1999, I coordinated a couple of EC funded projects to promote Telework, during which I realised that the EC, the civil service for Europe, is very bright, recruiting some of the best minds in Europe, and very small, being no more than the 30,000 Council workers of an average British town. This small executive group manages the whole of Europe – which must be extremely good value for our taxpayers’ money.

Being born and reared in a largely unthinking Manchester family of archetypal British Tories – the right wing of UK politics – embedded in all the political unquestionable certainties of self-made men and the small business community; I had scant regard or respect for the political classes and their Machiavellian machinations. But I was converted into an admirer of the EC and EU by the simple fact that they made the telephones work.

The base line was that in 1970 my wife and I travelled across France and had to call Manchester – it took half a day to book a call time, had to be routed via New York on a crackly line, and cost a hundred times what it costs today. European “Nation did not speak peace unto Nation”, certainly not on the phone. In 1996 I was despatched to Reykjavik, Iceland, and easily and cheaply called my EU colleagues Enrique de la Serna in Rome and Eduardo Barrera in Madrid – thanks to the EC negotiating the maze of tangled wires and tariffs and gang-rights across the whole of Europe. The EU was and is very effective. They get things done.

Being an old cynic and northern sceptic, I suspect the British lobbyists urging us to quit the EU, despite the EU buying 40% of our exports and providing jobs and homes for 2.8 million of our countrymen, are indulging in good old fashioned self protectionism. Many well padded Brits sit in large inefficient rice bowls, such as The City of London and our energy companies, creaming off personal billions from the uncomplaining public – for example the £1.2 trillion we are contributing to repair City losses – and these easy-street gravy trains might be slowed or even stopped by those acute people in the EC.  

A good summary of the EC’s and EU’s useful work is in this recent letter:

What's the EU ever done for us? This lot…

The Guardian, Friday 11 January 2013 20.59 GMT
At last we may get a debate on Britain's relationship with Europe (Leader, 11 January). What did the EEC/EU ever do for us? Not much, apart from: providing 57% of our trade; structural funding to areas hit by industrial decline; clean beaches and rivers; cleaner air; lead free petrol; restrictions on landfill dumping; a recycling culture; cheaper mobile charges; cheaper air travel; improved consumer protection and food labelling; a ban on growth hormones and other harmful food additives; better product safety; single market competition bringing quality improvements and better industrial performance; break up of monopolies; Europe-wide patent and copyright protection; no paperwork or customs for exports throughout the single market; price transparency and removal of commission on currency exchanges across the eurozone; freedom to travel, live and work across Europe; funded opportunities for young people to undertake study or work placements abroad; access to European health services; labour protection and enhanced social welfare; smoke-free workplaces; equal pay legislation; holiday entitlement; the right not to work more than a 48-hour week without overtime; strongest wildlife protection in the world; improved animal welfare in food production; EU-funded research and industrial collaboration; EU representation in international forums; bloc EEA negotiation at the WTO; EU diplomatic efforts to uphold the nuclear non-proliferation treaty; European arrest warrant; cross border policing to combat human trafficking, arms and drug smuggling; counter terrorism intelligence; European civil and military co-operation in post-conflict zones in Europe and Africa; support for democracy and human rights across Europe and beyond; investment across Europe contributing to better living standards and educational, social and cultural capital.
All of this is nothing compared with its greatest achievements: the EU has for 60 years been the foundation of peace between European neighbours after centuries of bloodshed. It furthermore assisted the extraordinary political, social and economic transformation of 13 former dictatorships, now EU members, since 1980. Now the union faces major challenges brought on by neoliberal economic globalisation, and worsened by its own systemic weaknesses. It is taking measures to overcome these. We in the UK should reflect on whether our net contribution of £7bn out of total government expenditure of £695bn is good value. We must play a full part in enabling the union to be a force for good in a multipolar global future.
Simon Sweeney
Lecturer in international political economy, University of York

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